... and the proof is there for all to see in the comments to his announcement of newsRiver - his new 'river of news' style RSS aggregator. A mere few hours after posting and the 74 replies are peppered with gushing praise. At the dawn of 2006 users are partying like its 1999.
Of all the fortune-telling for the coming 12 months I've read this past week the only thing that hangs in my memory is the advice that - the best way to predict the future is to invent it. And that, clearly, is what Dave Winer does all the time. But why is it that his vision of the future wins out despite the "inferiority" of RSS and OPML against the likes of Atom and XOXO? Well, because, he's so much more than a technologist - he's a one-man brand, marketeer, evangelist and union leader all rolled up into one. His union is the union of users, the ordinary everyday internauts like me who are absorbing the messages about RSS and OPML while those about loftier technologies go right over our heads. That must be incredibly frustrating to those who snipe at Winer but if they could stop throwing mud for a while they might learn his secrets.
How lyrical it is that the father of blogging should use his own creation better than anyone else, as a pulpit to spread his gospel across the expanses of cyberspace. If you're a software entrepreneur forget all the soothsaying you've read this week and concentrate on the lessons to be learned from the Winer Movement: - developing great software isn't about impressing your geeky peers with the technical genius of your 'boil the ocean' vapourware. Rather, its about communicating clearly the benefits of software that does a little, does it well and does it now. A lot of littles can add up to a lot, especially when you have an ardent army of followers to embrace and extend your vision.
I find Winer's abrasiveness irritating and I wish he'd bury the hatchet with Adam Curry but personality flaws (and some would argue that they aren't) shouldn't blind us to genius.
Thanks for the kind words.
I just posted some comments here...
http://www.scripting.com/2006/01/01.html#When:4:19:15PM
Dave
Posted by: Dave Winer | January 01, 2006 at 09:30 PM
Movement? OK, bowel-wise,then.
-k-
Posted by: Ken Nelson | January 01, 2006 at 09:53 PM
Nice post. It's prudent to pay attention to Dave, something I learned after stumbling upon Scripting News about a year after he launched it.
Winer's not reluctant to be honest, something that does seem to boost venom levels in some quarters. Too bad for them.
It isn't too much of a stretch to assert that, if it wasn't for Dave, today's web would be the exclusive medium of advertisers and corporate execs, like television and radio. It isn't, because he put tools like blogging and podcasting in the hands of all of us, rather than selling them to the highest bidder.
Posted by: billg | January 01, 2006 at 11:37 PM
What great software did Dave Winer produce in the latest few years? I must have totally missed that.
Posted by: Tomas Jogin | January 02, 2006 at 01:32 AM
I apologize for my earlier tasteless comment. It added no positive value, nor even zero value. It added negative value, by detracting from the conversation.
No excuses on my part; I'm sorry, and humbly ask forgiveness.
-k-
Posted by: Ken Nelson | January 02, 2006 at 09:59 PM
Curious that this post dismisses the criticisms about RSS/OPML. Atom/XOXO aren't radical leaps from RSS/OPML. They don't drastically change the vision. They don't require a completely different toolset. They fix the errors, reduce the ambiguities, and --- are shipping.
Of course, Winer will cast these attempts at making things too complex for "the user", or the "casual developer" (most complaints about namespaces). That someone cannot take your RSS, or OPML file and use tools built with standard libraries to manipulate/transform/mash them gets cast as "nerds vs. users".
This leaves the followers to say things like "impressing your geeky peers", instead of realizing that following Winer's formats means you're locked in his trunk (see: all references to funky).
Pity.
Posted by: Rob Macduff | January 05, 2006 at 02:25 PM